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Musings of An Old Guy

Musings of An Old Guy

Observations and Opinions

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Musings of An Old Guy
Musings of An Old Guy
Observations and Opinions
  • When the Old System Won’t Leave and the New One Won’t Wait
    AI | Commentary | Technology

    When the Old System Won’t Leave and the New One Won’t Wait

    Byyogiwan August 31, 2026August 30, 2026

    We tend to think about technological change as if it happens in neat stages. There is the old system. Somebody invents something better. Then, after a little confusion, everybody switches. That is not usually how it works. The hardest part of technological change may not be the old system or the new system. It may be the long period when both have to operate together. Andrew Miller recently described this problem in the context of autonomous vehicles. His argument is that roads may become most difficult not when almost everyone is driving manually, and not when almost everyone is automated, but somewhere in the middle. Imagine a road filled with conventional human drivers, cars using advanced driver assistance, and fully autonomous vehicles. Human drivers improvise….

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  • When the Agent Stops Researching and Starts Acting
    AI | Technology

    When the Agent Stops Researching and Starts Acting

    Byyogiwan August 31, 2026August 27, 2026

    The useful part begins when AI can take action. So does the risk. Last week I gave an AI agent a real job. I asked it to research housing alternatives for us. It looked at apartments, condos, independent living and other possibilities. It eliminated some choices, narrowed others and produced a report that was useful even though it did not make the decision for us. But I gave it one very important limitation: don’t do anything. Don’t call anyone. Don’t make appointments. Don’t submit applications. Don’t send personal information. Don’t make commitments. Research. Compare. Report back. That worked pretty well. Which raises the next question: what happens when we remove those restrictions? That is where agents become much more interesting — and potentially much more…

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  • I Gave an AI Agent a Real Job
    AI | Technology

    I Gave an AI Agent a Real Job

    Byyogiwan August 24, 2026August 22, 2026

    Last week I wrote about AI agents and asked a fairly basic question: Why would someone like me want one? I understand why businesses are interested. An agent that can process invoices, answer customer questions, write software or manage inventory might save a company considerable time and money. But I don’t run or try to run a company anymore. I wanted to know whether an AI agent could do something useful for me. So instead of asking another question about agents, I decided to give one a real job. It turns out I had a pretty good one waiting. Where Should We Live? My wife and I live in a house in northwest Reno. At some point, whether soon or several years from now, we…

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  • It Works. But What Will Everybody Else Think?
    Robotics | Technology

    It Works. But What Will Everybody Else Think?

    Byyogiwan August 21, 2026August 20, 2026

    A school district in western New York recently decided to spend about $60,000 on a humanoid AI robot named Sally. Sally was going to high school. The Salamanca City Central School District planned to use her to help students learn about artificial intelligence, robotics and technology. Students might ask her questions about programming or work with the technology that makes a humanoid robot function. That sounds reasonable enough. Then people outside the classroom began paying attention. Teachers questioned whether robots belonged in schools. Parents raised concerns. State officials got involved. There were questions about privacy, surveillance, safety and whether artificial intelligence might eventually replace teachers. Then someone discovered that the company making Sally has a corporate relationship with a company known for making realistic sex…

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  • Do You Have a Teenager Handy?
    AI | Technology

    Do You Have a Teenager Handy?

    Byyogiwan August 12, 2026August 10, 2026

    “Is there a teenager around?” I’ve heard that more times than I can count. Sometimes it’s a television that suddenly refuses to cooperate. Sometimes it’s a smartphone, a streaming service, or a computer that seems to have developed a mind of its own. The assumption is that anyone under twenty-five can solve the problem in a matter of seconds. Sometimes they can and sometimes they can’t. But the times they can leave a lasting impression. But I’ve also noticed something else. Many of my friends have simply stopped experimenting. No social media. No phone-based payment options. No Roomba. And certainly, no AI tools. I think that’s unfortunate, because the people who stop trying are often the very people who could benefit the most. The goal…

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  • When Software Stops Asking Permission
    Business | Commentary | Technology

    When Software Stops Asking Permission

    Byyogiwan July 22, 2026July 20, 2026

    There are times when Thursday mornings are more frustrating than they should be. My normal routine is simple. I get in an early workout, have a leisurely breakfast, and then sit down to finish whatever writing I left partially completed the day before. But on some Thursday mornings, instead of seeing my desktop, I’m greeted by a login screen. Sometime during the night, my computer decided it was time for an update. I didn’t schedule it. I wasn’t asked if the timing was convenient. I simply discovered that while I was sleeping, my computer had changed. Most of the things I was working on can eventually be recovered. Documents are usually easy to find again. Browser tabs can often be restored. But it’s still a…

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  • When Your Tools Stop Waiting
    Technology

    When Your Tools Stop Waiting

    Byyogiwan July 20, 2026July 16, 2026

    Our tools are moving from being reactive to becoming proactive.
    Yesterday they waited.
    Today they suggest.
    Tomorrow they may quietly act on our behalf.

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  • Maybe We Are Not Alone.
    Technology

    Maybe We Are Not Alone.

    Byyogiwan July 1, 2026June 27, 2026

    Maybe We Just Missed Each Other. For thousands of years, humans have looked into the night sky and wondered the same thing. Are we alone? It is one of the oldest questions we ask, and recently it has returned to public discussion. Government hearings, released reports, military observations, and discussions about Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena (UAPs) have renewed interest in the possibility that something unusual may be happening in our skies. Some observations remain unexplained. That is interesting. But unexplained does not automatically mean extraterrestrial. A statement that “we do not know what something is” is very different from saying “it came from another civilization.” The bigger question may not be whether there are things we cannot explain. The bigger question may be whether another civilization…

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  • When AI Starts Managing the Sky
    Robotics | Technology

    When AI Starts Managing the Sky

    Byyogiwan June 29, 2026June 27, 2026

    This one:

    The challenge becomes managing the systems that manage drones. And maybe the systems that manage the systems that manage the drones.

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  • The Next Uber Doesn’t Exist Yet
    Commentary | Technology

    The Next Uber Doesn’t Exist Yet

    Byyogiwan June 26, 2026June 23, 2026

    One of the readers of my recent anniversary article posed an interesting observation. Uber was not possible until smartphones became common. In hindsight, Uber seems obvious. But in 2005 it would have sounded ridiculous. Millions of strangers getting into the cars of other strangers, coordinated through a handheld computer connected to satellites and payment systems? The idea depended on several technologies maturing at the same time. Once they did, an entirely new business model emerged. Without GPS, mobile internet, digital payments, and millions of connected users carrying computers in their pockets, the business simply could not exist. The same could be said for Airbnb, food delivery apps, mobile banking, and dozens of other services we now take for granted. Which raises an interesting question. If…

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  • When Everything Wants to Be on Your Phone
    Commentary | Technology

    When Everything Wants to Be on Your Phone

    Byyogiwan June 24, 2026June 22, 2026

    Technology should serve people.
    People should not be forced to serve technology.

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  • Who Controls the Sky?
    Robotics | Technology

    Who Controls the Sky?

    Byyogiwan June 22, 2026June 19, 2026

    Researchers and regulators have already recognized that managing future drone traffic will require far more than identification and tracking. Proposed UAS Traffic Management (UTM) systems include services for flight authorization, monitoring, conflict resolution, emergency response, and dynamic rerouting. In many ways the challenge resembles managing a transportation network rather than simply controlling aircraft

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  • Amazon Wants “Now” to Mean Now
    Commentary | Technology

    Amazon Wants “Now” to Mean Now

    Byyogiwan June 17, 2026June 15, 2026

    Technology often changes products first. Then it changes systems. Eventually it changes expectations.

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  • When Drones Stop Flying Alone
    Robotics | Technology

    When Drones Stop Flying Alone

    Byyogiwan June 15, 2026June 12, 2026

    One drone is relatively simple.
    Ten drones require coordination.
    One hundred drones require automation.
    One thousand drones require sophisticated management systems.
    Hundreds of thousands of drones create an entirely new infrastructure challenge.

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  • When the Sky Starts Filling Up
    Robotics | Technology

    When the Sky Starts Filling Up

    Byyogiwan June 8, 2026June 6, 2026

    (Part two of a series.) For now, most drones still feel occasional. A neighbor flies one over the park. A real estate agent photographs a property. A police department uses one to monitor traffic after an accident. Firefighters deploy one during a wildfire. A stadium uses aerial camera coverage during a sporting event. Somewhere nearby, Amazon is probably testing another delivery route. Individually, none of these seem especially disruptive. Together, they may eventually become something very different. One of the reasons drones still feel manageable is that there are relatively few of them operating simultaneously in most places. The systems remain fragmented, experimental, and somewhat isolated from each other. But infrastructure problems often arrive gradually and then all at once. Roads worked well when there…

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  • Nuclear Power Still Has a Paperwork Problem
    Commentary | Technology

    Nuclear Power Still Has a Paperwork Problem

    Byyogiwan June 3, 2026May 26, 2026

    The question is whether our institutional systems can evolve fast enough to manage large-scale infrastructure development in a world where technological change is accelerating much faster than regulatory adaptation.

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  • When the Human Backup Disappears
    Business | Technology

    When the Human Backup Disappears

    Byyogiwan May 29, 2026May 20, 2026

    The more automation handles normal operations, the fewer humans remain who deeply understand the underlying process when something unusual occurs.

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  • When AI Depends on a Few Giant Machines
    AI | Technology

    When AI Depends on a Few Giant Machines

    Byyogiwan May 20, 2026May 16, 2026

    Most people imagine artificial intelligence as something floating invisibly across the internet — distributed everywhere, available anytime, almost magical in its reach. But the reality is far more physical. AI increasingly depends on a relatively small number of extraordinarily large and extraordinarily expensive computing centers. Vast buildings filled with specialized processors, cooling systems, backup power systems, networking equipment, and enough electricity consumption to rival small cities. Behind every chatbot, image generator, recommendation engine, autonomous system, or AI “agent” quietly coordinating schedules, purchases, logistics, or data analysis is infrastructure that is surprisingly concentrated. That concentration may become one of the defining technology risks of the next decade. Not because the systems are evil. Not because machines suddenly become self-aware. But because modern society rarely handles concentration…

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  • Robots Don’t Work Alone
    Robotics | Technology

    Robots Don’t Work Alone

    Byyogiwan May 18, 2026May 16, 2026

    Most robot demonstrations, especially humanoid robots,  are carefully staged. The floor is clean. The lighting is controlled. The sensors are calibrated. The battery is fully charged. The software has been updated. The Wi-Fi works. Someone nearby knows how to reboot the system if things suddenly become “unexpected.” Then the robot walks across the stage carrying a box, folding a towel, or waving at the audience, and everyone focuses on the machine itself. But the robot is often the easy part. What matters is everything around it. That may be one of the biggest misunderstandings in the public discussion about robotics. We tend to imagine the machine as an independent mechanical worker — something like Rosie from The Jetsons — operating largely on its own intelligence…

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  • When the Thinking Layer Goes Dark
    AI | Technology

    When the Thinking Layer Goes Dark

    Byyogiwan May 13, 2026May 9, 2026

    We’ve become accustomed to systems that simply work. Electricity, communications, cloud services—most of the time they are there when we need them. When they fail, even briefly, the disruption is noticeable, but usually manageable. Backup systems exist. Workarounds exist. People know what to do. Artificial intelligence is starting to become part of that same layer of assumed availability. Not in an obvious way, and not all at once. But gradually, across writing, research, customer support, coding, and planning, it is being woven into the way work gets done. In many cases, it is not replacing entire roles. It is shaping how tasks are performed and how decisions are made. That distinction matters. Because we are not just depending on infrastructure anymore. We are beginning to…

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  • We’re Closer Than We Thought
    General | Technology

    We’re Closer Than We Thought

    Byyogiwan April 28, 2026April 28, 2026

    And Still a Long Way From Leaving A few days ago, I wrote about how much of the technology imagined in Star Trek has, in one form or another, found its way into the real world. Not everything—and not always in the way it was portrayed—but enough to make the comparison feel less like science fiction and more like a long-range preview of where we might be headed. That kind of progress is easy to underestimate while it’s happening. But there’s another side to that story—one that’s less talked about. Some technologies don’t arrive on schedule. Some remain stubbornly out of reach, even when the underlying physics suggests they might be possible. I was reminded of that while reading a recent piece by Ethan Siegel,…

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  • Recognizing Change Is One Thing—Responding Is Another
    Commentary | Technology

    Recognizing Change Is One Thing—Responding Is Another

    Byyogiwan April 23, 2026April 22, 2026

    If AI follows the same pattern, what do we do differently? In the last article, I ended with a question. If major changes tend to unfold gradually—and if we usually don’t recognize their full impact until they reach us—then what does that mean for artificial intelligence? More specifically: If AI is following a familiar pattern, is there anything we can do differently this time? We’ve Been Here Before History suggests a consistent response. We don’t ignore change because we’re unaware of it. In most cases, the signs are visible. New technologies emerge, early adopters experiment, and initial use cases begin to take shape. What we tend to do instead is wait. We wait until the change becomes relevant to us personally. Until it affects our…

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  • Why We Don’t Recognize Big Changes Until They Reach Us
    Commentary | Technology

    Why We Don’t Recognize Big Changes Until They Reach Us

    Byyogiwan April 22, 2026April 21, 2026

    We’ve seen the pattern before—just not always in time Large changes rarely feel important while they are happening. Not because we don’t see them, but because, at least at first, they tend to happen to someone else. A farmer loses his land. A small operator sells off equipment that no longer makes sense. A business across town closes. A new way of doing things appears, and it works—but not in a way that seems immediately relevant. All of these are real changes. They’re just not our changes. However, the question is are we not experiencing a big change in progress? As long as changes from AI stay in controlled spaces and remain that way, it’s easy to assume that whatever is happening is limited, temporary,…

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  • We’re Closer Than We Realized
    General | Reading, Garden & Personal | Technology

    We’re Closer Than We Realized

    Byyogiwan April 17, 2026April 13, 2026

    Revisiting Star Trek and the Future That Quietly Arrived I recently finished reading Treknology by Ethan Siegel. The book is about ten years old now, which makes it interesting for a different reason than originally intended. It’s no longer just about the progress that had been made a decade ago. It’s about what has happened since—and how much of it has quietly worked its way into everyday life. A Familiar Future I’ve been a Star Trek fan since it first came out—not a fanatic, never went to conventions or collected memorabilia, but the concept always resonated. When it first aired, I was working on the Saturn V program. We were building real rockets, pushing toward the moon, and Star Trek showed something beyond that—a longer…

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  • We Locked the Doors. We Never Checked Inside
    Commentary | Technology

    We Locked the Doors. We Never Checked Inside

    Byyogiwan April 15, 2026April 12, 2026

    On AI, Security, and the Problems We Didn’t Look For A recent article that showed up in my email feed caught my attention. It said the latest release of Claud Mythos has capabilities that are too dangerous to mke broadly available until our most important software is in a much stronger state. AI systems—specifically tools like Claude—are being used to analyze existing code and uncover security vulnerabilities at a scale that wasn’t practical before. That, by itself, is interesting. But there’s a second layer that may be more important. In simple terms, once the barn door is open, it tends to stay open. Once that capability is shown to exist by Claude, it doesn’t stay contained. Other developers will build similar tools. Other organizations will…

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  • The Coming Tug-of-War Between Utilities and Rooftop Solar
    Commentary | General | Technology

    The Coming Tug-of-War Between Utilities and Rooftop Solar

    Byyogiwan April 13, 2026April 10, 2026

    Four years ago, I turned my roof into a power plant. At the time, it felt like a small step—practical, maybe even a little ahead of the curve. My electric bill dropped to almost nothing, replaced mostly by a fixed service fee. Not a quick return on investment but will pay off in time. For a while, it seemed like a simple equation. Generate your own power. Buy less from the utility. Everybody wins. But systems don’t usually work that way for long. The Shift Utilities are beginning to adjust. Not dramatically. Not loudly. But steadily. Rates are changing. Fee structures are evolving. Fixed charges are creeping upward. Net metering rules are being revisited. In Nevada, this has been less visible—utilities never paid for excess…

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  • Where Robots Actually Work
    Robotics | Technology

    Where Robots Actually Work

    Byyogiwan April 6, 2026April 2, 2026

    (And Why That Matters) For years, we’ve been told that robots were coming for our homes. They would cook, clean, fold laundry, walk the dog, and maybe even offer the occasional piece of advice—something between a helpful assistant and a mechanical companion. That didn’t happen. At least not in the way we imagined. Instead, robots showed up somewhere else entirely. Not in our kitchens. Not in our living rooms. But in warehouses, factories, hospitals, and supply chains—the quiet infrastructure of modern life. And that turns out to be far more important than the original expectation. Walk into a modern warehouse today, and you won’t see science fiction. You’ll see something more interesting. Shelves moving across the floor on their own.Robots gliding through aisles, carrying products…

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  • Robots Are Coming — But They Haven’t Met My Plumber Yet
    General | Robotics | Technology

    Robots Are Coming — But They Haven’t Met My Plumber Yet

    Byyogiwan April 1, 2026March 25, 2026

    Where Automation Meets the Real World A few weeks ago, I had a plumbing issue. Nothing dramatic. Just one of those problems that starts small and then slowly reveals itself to be something else entirely. At first glance, it looked straightforward. A leak. Maybe a fitting. Possibly a simple replacement. That lasted about five minutes. What the plumber actually found was a piping system that had been installed throughout our neighborhood when the homes were originally built. In our case, we had made only minor changes over the years—a split pipe at the water heater and a failed bathtub drain. Otherwise, the system had been left alone. Which sounds fine… until you realize what it means. We are essentially sitting on a potential time bomb….

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  • The Age of Slightly Off
    Commentary | Technology

    The Age of Slightly Off

    Byyogiwan March 25, 2026March 23, 2026

    We used to expect systems to be reliable. Now we expect them to recover.

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  • The AI Divide May Not Be What We Think
    AI | Technology

    The AI Divide May Not Be What We Think

    Byyogiwan March 23, 2026March 22, 2026

    The People Who Question — And Those Who Don’t You ask AI a question, and it gives you a fast, confident answer — clear, well written, and often persuasive. At that point, you have a choice. You can accept the answer and move on, or pause long enough to question it. Most of the time, that choice passes almost unnoticed. But it may be one of the more important decisions we make in how we use these tools. The First Divide There is a growing conversation about an “AI divide,” usually framed in terms of access — who has the tools and who doesn’t. But it is not always clear how broadly that conversation is grounded. Much of it seems to take place among technically…

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