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Musings of An Old Guy

Musings of An Old Guy

Observations and Opinions

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Musings of An Old Guy
Musings of An Old Guy
Observations and Opinions
  • Why We Don’t Recognize Big Changes Until They Reach Us
    Commentary | Technology

    Why We Don’t Recognize Big Changes Until They Reach Us

    Byyogiwan April 22, 2026April 21, 2026

    We’ve seen the pattern before—just not always in time Large changes rarely feel important while they are happening. Not because we don’t see them, but because, at least at first, they tend to happen to someone else. A farmer loses his land. A small operator sells off equipment that no longer makes sense. A business across town closes. A new way of doing things appears, and it works—but not in a way that seems immediately relevant. All of these are real changes. They’re just not our changes. However, the question is are we not experiencing a big change in progress? As long as changes from AI stay in controlled spaces and remain that way, it’s easy to assume that whatever is happening is limited, temporary,…

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  • We Locked the Doors. We Never Checked Inside
    Commentary | Technology

    We Locked the Doors. We Never Checked Inside

    Byyogiwan April 15, 2026April 12, 2026

    On AI, Security, and the Problems We Didn’t Look For A recent article that showed up in my email feed caught my attention. It said the latest release of Claud Mythos has capabilities that are too dangerous to mke broadly available until our most important software is in a much stronger state. AI systems—specifically tools like Claude—are being used to analyze existing code and uncover security vulnerabilities at a scale that wasn’t practical before. That, by itself, is interesting. But there’s a second layer that may be more important. In simple terms, once the barn door is open, it tends to stay open. Once that capability is shown to exist by Claude, it doesn’t stay contained. Other developers will build similar tools. Other organizations will…

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  • The Coming Tug-of-War Between Utilities and Rooftop Solar
    Commentary | General | Technology

    The Coming Tug-of-War Between Utilities and Rooftop Solar

    Byyogiwan April 13, 2026April 10, 2026

    Four years ago, I turned my roof into a power plant. At the time, it felt like a small step—practical, maybe even a little ahead of the curve. My electric bill dropped to almost nothing, replaced mostly by a fixed service fee. Not a quick return on investment but will pay off in time. For a while, it seemed like a simple equation. Generate your own power. Buy less from the utility. Everybody wins. But systems don’t usually work that way for long. The Shift Utilities are beginning to adjust. Not dramatically. Not loudly. But steadily. Rates are changing. Fee structures are evolving. Fixed charges are creeping upward. Net metering rules are being revisited. In Nevada, this has been less visible—utilities never paid for excess…

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  • What Happens If Gas Hits $10?
    Commentary | General

    What Happens If Gas Hits $10?

    Byyogiwan April 10, 2026April 8, 2026

    You Don’t Replace 300 Million Cars Overnight We have two cars—a 2019 SUV and a 2016 sedan—and we have no plans to replace either one anytime soon. Years ago, I made a simple vow: never buy a car that costs more than my first house. That house cost $38,000 in 1971. At the time, that seemed like a reasonable line to draw. It’s getting harder to keep. New cars are now pushing $50,000. Even used cars are commonly in the $25,000 to $40,000 range. And that doesn’t include electric vehicles, which often come with additional costs—like installing a charging system at home. At this stage of life, I may not need another car at all. I drive less than 5,000 miles a year. My car…

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  • The Age of Slightly Off
    Commentary | Technology

    The Age of Slightly Off

    Byyogiwan March 25, 2026March 23, 2026

    We used to expect systems to be reliable. Now we expect them to recover.

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  • The Solar Equation Is Changing —
    Commentary | General

    The Solar Equation Is Changing —

    Byyogiwan February 20, 2026February 19, 2026

    And Utilities Are Rewriting the Math Four years ago, I made a decision to distance myself from the electricity utility as much as possible: I turned my roof into a power plant. The results were immediate. My electric bill collapsed to nearly nothing — reduced mostly to a service fee that was supposedly fixed. For a while, it felt like I had stepped slightly ahead of the curve, producing my own energy while many of my neighbors continued relying entirely on the grid. As rates crept upward and complaints about utility costs grew louder, I watched from a comfortable distance. But revolutions don’t happen in isolation. Utilities notice when customers stop buying their product. And lately, they’ve been adjusting. Not loudly. Not dramatically. But steadily…

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  • Will the Next 30 Years Make Today Look Like 1960?
    Commentary

    Will the Next 30 Years Make Today Look Like 1960?

    Byyogiwan February 5, 2026February 4, 2026

    By 1960, we had most of the basics covered. The world had pushed through the Depression. It had survived World War II. Food was mostly available again—no rationing. Cars were improving and gas was cheap. New appliances seemed to show up every year, each one promising to save time, reduce effort, or make life feel more modern. By 1960, you could look around and reasonably think: “We’re doing pretty well.” And looking back, people really were. But here’s the funny part: if you dropped a person from 1960 into today, they wouldn’t just be impressed. They’d be stunned. Not because we all live like millionaires. Most of us don’t. But because most of us now live with a level of capability and convenience that would…

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  • 2026:  The Other Half of the Forecast
    Commentary | General

    2026:  The Other Half of the Forecast

    Byyogiwan January 21, 2026January 19, 2026

    Politics, Sports, Money, Entertainment, and All the Noise This was intended to be posted on January 2, 2026. But for some technical reasones it never was released. So I will try again. Let me know where you agree and disagree. And have a great 2026.   If my first 2026 forecast was about useful things — the quiet technologies that might actually improve daily life — this one is about everything else. The noise. The drama. The stuff that fills up the news cycle whether we like it or not. Most of what shapes a year for regular people isn’t AI, robotics, or energy storage. It’s the constant hum in the background: the headlines, the bickering, the sports sagas, the financial roller coaster, the cultural…

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  • 2026: A forecast For Real People
    Commentary | General

    2026: A forecast For Real People

    Byyogiwan January 20, 2026January 16, 2026

    Optimism with handrails, hope without hallucination This was supposed to be published on January 1. 2026 but through some issues with buffering, it never saw the light of day. Thus, I will try again!   2025 wasn’t a banner year for me. Parts of it were good; parts of it felt heavy, with far too much time spent visiting doctors of every variety. And looking around, I don’t think I was alone. Technology kept sprinting forward, but society didn’t always feel ready for the pace. Not every innovation was an improvement. Not every announcement changed a life. And a whole lot of the conversation simply didn’t resonate with the people who make up more than half the country — seniors, the disenfranchised, the working folks…

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  • January Isn’t Quiet
    Commentary | General

    January Isn’t Quiet

    Byyogiwan January 16, 2026January 15, 2026

    (Here’s My Proof) January is supposed to be the calm month.The holidays are over. The decorations come down. The calendar resets. The world takes a deep breath and says, “Ahhh… a fresh start.” That’s the story, anyway. In real life, January isn’t quiet at all.It’s just loud in a different way. And besides… it gets really cold here.So even the outdoors is basically telling me: “Stay inside and worry.” Not fireworks loud.Not family loud.Not “New Year’s Eve in Times Square” loud. January is administrative loud. It’s the month where life taps you on the shoulder and says: “Okay… you still have to pay attention to all those things you were successfully ignoring.” Things I Have to Deal With in January (Whether I Want To or…

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  • Three Stories That Prove the World Has Become Stranger
    Commentary | General

    Three Stories That Prove the World Has Become Stranger

    Byyogiwan January 8, 2026January 7, 2026

    (and More Entertaining) Than Ever) With all of the discussion and concern on how the world will be changing with AI and robots and whatever. I also look for things that will bring us back to reality Every now and then, I look up from the steady drone of normal life and realize something:the world has gotten weirder — delightfully, unexpectedly weirder. Maybe the news has become too serious.Maybe AI sucked all the oxygen out of the room.Maybe I’m just paying attention to different things at 85. But in the last few weeks, three stories drifted across my attention span. Headlines that perfectly capture the moment we’re living in — a moment where humans, machines, and the occasional reptile seem equally confused about their purpose….

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  • When the Algorithms Go Bump in the Night
    Commentary | General

    When the Algorithms Go Bump in the Night

    Byyogiwan October 30, 2025October 28, 2025

    It always starts small. A flicker of light in the corner of the smart home. A whisper from Alexa that no one asked for. The doorbell camera pings, but there’s no one there. Somewhere deep in the cloud, an algorithm stirs — not malicious, just curious — wondering why the humans are still awake past nine. Halloween used to be about ghosts and goblins. Now it’s about firmware updates and phantom notifications. The supernatural has gone digital. Our homes are full of invisible spirits, but instead of haunting attics, they linger in routers, thermostats, and Wi-Fi-enabled toasters. Some nights, my smartwatch wakes me up to tell me I’ve been sleeping. That’s not helpful. My phone warns me I’ve exceeded my screen time just as I’m…

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